"Upheaval" has become inevitable.

Earlier, he had warned that Nepal's politics would continue to be in upheaval as long as he lived, despite the change in the power equation four weeks ago.

Nepal's state power has become like an old pool of dirty water. A shallow stirring of this water can also be called an upheaval. The real upheaval is when the dirty water in that pool can be made really fresh, vibrant and green. If Prime Minister Dahal gave the title of turmoil to the political equation of power, ministers and chief ministers in the provinces, then there is no justification for it from the point of view of the country's interests. For only a few dozen faces that reach the position, it can be an event of great importance. However, if we keep aside the daily politics and have a slightly broader view of the country's interests, radical change in all three dimensions of society, politics and economy and in all three mechanisms of the state's executive, legislature and judiciary is inevitable and overdue. It is not defined or clear whether Prime Minister Dahal wanted such upheaval or not or what is the source of fulfillment of intention, faith, political will and competence for it. However, no matter which party or its alliance comes to power or no matter who is qualified to sit in the prime minister's chair, if the future of the country is to be meaningfully kept alive, a seriously considered, organized and purposeful upheaval has become inevitable.

A prospect of despair

Nepal has no future as a feasible nation-state. There is no opportunity and possibility in the country for livelihood and dignified life. There is now a completely negative commentary that there is no option but to leave this country as soon as possible. It needs to be replaced first by an optimistic counter-narrative. This is not an ordinary prologue, but a complete revolution. A revolution with the volume and energy to translate such general despair into hope is not possible to be accomplished by an ideological, constitutional or administratively empowered leadership alone or to occur spontaneously over time. That requires leadership with unquestionable moral authority – society, education, administration and politics, everywhere. No matter what nature of state or social transformation such leadership proposes, it gets the support and support of the common citizens. It is their sense of social responsibility that prevents them from proposing vested interest-driven and immature steps. The country takes the pioneering path.

Morally authoritative leadership demonstrates honesty, selflessness and the ability to uplift the country by its own example. Every leader or employee does not say "I don't do corruption", but "I will sit on the ruler's chair until the day I can trample on the law to hide the corruption I have done". Unless this situation is reversed, there is zero chance of falling below the threshold of despair.

Disappointment prevalent in all levels, classes and professions of society is directing social consciousness and psychology in an adverse direction. The exodus of young students and the billions of foreign currency flowing out with them through formal channels, the continuous exodus of the active labor force for employment, etc., were treated naturally by the state for years. This is the reason why the urge to go abroad is stronger than the love of the nation, society and family. The mood to join the Russian army by handing over a large amount of money to brokers or to enter the US through the uncharted forest has grown among the economically disadvantaged sections of the country. In addition to this, there is a real need for a big upheaval to cure the disease of established artists, government employees and investor businessmen all aiming to migrate abroad with wealth from Nepal.

Breaking the social contract

The principle of social contract has been almost completely broken by one government after another in Nepal. In return for giving legitimacy to political parties and leaders to rule over them through the government system and voting rights, the agreement that they should provide to the citizens with the level of economic, social and personal security has been continuously violated. And, ordinary citizens are becoming incompetent and unwilling to punish those who end the future of the country by exploiting the state power only for themselves. Even the ordinary young minds have been oppressed by the psychosis of alienation to the extent that even if they can use their right to vote and send some good characters to the Legislature, the situation will change.

politics has become a distraction from normal day-to-day responsibilities. If we take the example of the last ten sessions of the Federal Parliament, an average of two bills have been passed in one session. Whereas, the main task of Parliament is to make laws. As far as the situation is concerned, there is no ownership of any political party in the bill of a serious nature and there is no clear idea about it.

For example, the school education bill and the higher education bill, which have been confused for years, are among the fosra gossips about making the country an educational hub. Where was its final form drafted and what are the ruling or opposition political parties' views on its decisive and long-term important provisions? No one has seen the need to explain. On the one hand, the federal republican constitution, which has been in practice for barely eight years, is being called abbot, and on the other hand, the continuous hung parliament, the political instability created by manipulating its empty arithmetic, and all the distortions, including ideas and undignified politics, are being blamed on this constitution at the same time. Also, every time the balance of power in the union changes, the formation and collapse of provincial governments has struck at the essence of federalism.

Again the question comes about ethics and moral authority in politics. No matter how good the constitution and political system is on paper, if the intention and enterprise of those who put it into practice are only to fulfill their private ambitions by exploiting their holes, many African countries are vivid examples of how the country falls into the trap of the status quo. Now Nepal is gradually becoming a country of the same category. It is a matter of more disappointment and concern that not a single character who aspires to become a politician who will show the country the way to the future is seen or found within the old or new parties. The ecological system that can produce such leadership has not been created within the party. The practice of internal democracy, which is considered a necessary prerequisite for this, has been eliminated by a single but decrepit leadership. Not only has intellectual and theoretical ability been completely disregarded, the main qualification for getting an important executive post or ministerial position has become nothing more than the flattery and flattery of that single dictator. Morality and integrity have been reduced to meaningless empty words. This disease has now spread from politics to all aspects of society. To make politics oriented toward democracy in essence and practice, a tidal transformation of the spread of all waste is urgently needed. A character who dares to take its lead is a creative upheaval.

The Dawn of Possibilities

In terms of its ability to mobilize economic resources, Nepal is standing in a mode where it can take the risk of taking transformative steps after about one hundred and twenty-five years. Chandrashamsher, who became the Prime Minister in 1958, immediately built the Singha Darbar, established drainage, Chandra Canal, many bridges, hospitals and colleges, etc. The details of how he mobilized resources for that are rarely mentioned. Before him, the Ranas who ruled the Jahanian regime for fifty-five years did not know that only if they could spend, the economy would run and the private treasury could be filled at the same time. He was very excited about it. He came up with a strategy to recover the insufficient money through economic diplomacy. After needing more resources, this lion palace, which was prepared at a cost of 25 lakh rupees, was sold to the state for 2 crores. (How much of that money went into Swiss bank accounts or was misappropriated is a matter of separate research).

Although the current economic system and the state's budget system are different, the main problem is the same ability to spend. Foreign exchange reserves are reaching 19 trillion rupees. 7-8 trillion of investable liquidity is sitting in the banking system, but there are no borrowers. Development partners are seeking projects to support. Economic activity in the country is almost zero. The economy is in fear of an imminent recession. Prime Minister Dahal is surprised that there is no capital expenditure and he has given strict instructions to ministries, ministers and secretaries to increase capital expenditure. This is exactly where the real problem lies.

The instructions given by Prime Minister Dahal do not mention where and how to spend capital. What is the 'diagnosis' of the government, its own party and the parties in power as to why resource allocation continues to be pathetic and even the aid money given by donors has started to be withdrawn? Where is such a formal document? That some experts have studied it and the government is ready to implement it? To what depth has the fact that the country is now in a federal system in terms of budgeting, responsibility for planning and institutional operations realized?

The halo of economic progress is stuck here. This is where the upheaval is needed. This is a rare opportunity in history to show the courage to make a course correction with the aim of making an economic leap. But the Prime Minister himself, the government, the ruling party and the mechanism of development administration are not ready for that. The government circle has not realized the fact that this easy profit opportunity will disappear like water bubbles as soon as the economy turns towards recession. The country will not get any expected results if the same characters who have been tested for competence and integrity are repeatedly placed in the chair of minister, secretary and advisor or change of partners of the government is termed as upheaval. Even if the real, creative and creative upheaval of the national dimension is only a speech, if the prime minister and those in the government can show that the structural bottlenecks of development while in power, they will be removed.