The ruling coalition is in dire straits

Prime Minister Dahal and UML President Oli along with two supporting leaders sat for a formal discussion in Baluwatar late on Sunday evening after long homework. Deputy Prime Minister and Home Minister Narayankaji Shrestha and Maoist Deputy General Secretary Varshman Pun and UML Vice President Bishnu Paudel and General Secretary Shankar Pokharel were present in the discussion. National Independent Party Chairman Ravi Lamichhane and Jaspa President Upendra Yadav were also present. Although it was asked for the bill related to Truth and Reconciliation Commission, the issue of forming an alternative government was discussed in the meeting.

Mistrust between the ruling Congress and the Maoists has been growing for a long time. Prime Minister Dahal has been expressing his displeasure with the Congress officials saying that Congress President Deuba obstructed when he was trying to reconstitute the entire cabinet, saying that Finance Minister Prakashsharan Mahat had questions about his performance and Health Minister Mohan Bahadur Basnet about corruption. Since

, opposition MPs have been raising slogans in Parliament demanding the controversial minister's resignation. Speaker Devraj Ghimire has ruled the Prime Minister to answer the demands of the opposition in the Parliament meeting on Monday.

Before going to Parliament, Prime Minister Dahal has called a meeting of the ruling coalition. The Maoist leaders say that the future of the current alliance will be decided at the meeting held at Baluwatar at 8 am. After that, Dahal is ready to call a meeting of UML, Maoists, Raswapa and Jaspa.

Deuba was busy in discussions with the leaders until Sunday night as the possibility of breaking the alliance increased. In the afternoon, Deuba called all the ministers of the party and said that Prime Minister Dahal was trying to reorganize the cabinet and said that there was a situation where they had to resign en masse. Prime Minister's speech in Parliament on Monday. A meeting of the current coalition is held before that. By that time, many issues will be clear," said a Congress minister.

According to him, there is a possibility that Deuba will recall all the ministers and propose a reorganization of the cabinet. "Now we have the chairman of the National Assembly in our hands, and the chairman has started the last exercise to save the alliance by giving that too. Even so, there is no guarantee that the alliance will survive.

With the political developments on Sunday, the visit of Foreign Minister NP Saud to Finland has been postponed. According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Saud was scheduled to go there on Sunday night to participate in the 'Second UN LDC Future Forum'.

The mistrust between the Congress and the Maoists has also manifested itself in the Transitional Justice Bill. Since 17 years after the peace agreement, the Congress and the Maoists were together on this issue, while only the UML has been standing by. However, on Sunday, in the Law, Justice and Human Rights Committee of the House of Representatives, when the UML, Maoist and RSVP also agreed, the Congress refused to pass the bill saying it needed time. Before the meeting called by the committee on Sunday, Prime Minister Dahal had a discussion with Congress President Deuba and UML President Oli. In the meeting, an agreement was reached to finalize the bill through consensus.

After the discussion of the top leaders, an informal discussion was held between the committee chairperson Vimala Subedi, Congress leader Ramesh Ukhtar, UML leader Mahesh Bertaula, Santosh Periyar of RSVP and others on how to solve the problems in the bill. The meeting, which was called at 11:30 in the morning, started two hours later at 1:30 in the afternoon. The MPs of Congress, UML, Maoist, RSWP and RPP were saying that they will pass the bill on Sunday even if it is till evening. However, Law Minister Dhanraj Gurung has stopped the bill by asking for time saying that the government needs time to gather consensus.

According to an official of Baluwatar, after the Finance Minister Mahat could not be reached, the Prime Minister had repeatedly requested him to send someone else in his place. However, Deuba was defending Mahat. A Congress leader says, 'When everyone is saying that Nepal is now like Sri Lanka, Mahat has saved the economy of the country, why should a minister who has done good work be punished?' The Maoist was shocked after he made the Congress Chief Minister through coordination. Similarly, there were two candidates from the ruling coalition in Koshi for the National Assembly member, while Krishna Sitaula of the Congress won and the Maoist candidate Champadevi Karki was defeated. In the Congress General Committee's proposal by Deputy Chairman Purna Bahadur Khadka, the Maoists have also interpreted the part that "Maoist 10 years of unnecessary conflict has damaged economic development" as an insult to them. Similarly, after the resolution put forward by Congress General Minister Gagan Thapa in the General Committee was passed that 'no alliance will be held in the upcoming elections', the Maoists have interpreted that the commitment to the alliance has weakened.

Leaders say that the Maoists have already started to go their way saying that signatures were collected in favor of Hinduism in the context of the Congress General Committee and that the entire Congress could raise this issue in due course. Amid growing mistrust, the Maoists presented their claim to the National Assembly Speaker, but the Congress did not drop the claim saying it was a pre-understanding. However, the Maoists remained in the stance of leaving with the chairman this year saying that the Maoists had been cheated by the pre-understanding, and the Maoists felt comfortable when the Congress disagreed. This distrust has brought them to the point of separation.

Deuba has started saying that he is ready to address all the issues that the Maoists are dissatisfied with. "During the ongoing discussions with Prime Minister Dahal through various leaders and ministers, Deuba has given the message to the Prime Minister that he is ready to amend the political documents presented to the party's general committee from the reorganization of the cabinet to the central committee. Now the response of the prime minister will be clear on Monday morning," said a Congress official.

The Maoist leaders believe that Deuba has become an obstacle in the removal of Physical Infrastructure and Transport Minister Prakash Jwala, who was found guilty by the investigation commission of the Bal Kumari incident last time. According to the commission's recommendation, when the Prime Minister asked for Jwala's resignation, even though the Unified Socialists were soft, Deuba strongly protested.

Half a dozen weak links of the alliance

It has been a long time since Prime Minister Dahal started expressing his displeasure with Congress officials by saying that Congress President Sher Bahadur Deuba did not allow the reorganization of the Council of Ministers even though Finance Minister Prakashsharan Mahat was questioned about his performance and Health Minister Mohan Bahadur Basnet about corruption.

• Before that, the Maoists were shocked when the Shekhar Koirala group coordinated with Amalesag and made the Congress chief minister due to the loss of power in Koshi.
• There were two candidates from the power coalition in Koshi for the National Assembly member, but Congress' Krishna Sitaula won and Maoist candidate Champadevi Karki was defeated. Maoist explained that it was an insult to him
• After the resolution passed by Congress General Minister Gagan Thapa in the general committee that 'no alliance in the upcoming elections' was passed, Maoist interpreted that the commitment to the alliance is now weak
• In the context of the Congress General Committee, the signatures in favor of Hinduism were collected and the entire Congress could make this issue in due course, so the Maoists moved ahead to go their way before that
• Maoists presented their claim for the National Assembly Speaker amid growing mistrust, but the Congress did not give up the claim saying it was a pre-understanding. The Maoists were in the position of leaving this year with the chairman saying that the Maoists were betrayed by the pre-understanding, the stance of both parties weakened the alliance