Dahal will be out of power after four turns

He is preparing to move from government residence Baluwatar to private residence Khumaltar . Dahal, who was the Prime Minister for one and a half years sometimes riding on the shoulders of Congress and sometimes UML, has been out of power after the alliance between the first and second largest parties, Congress and UML. Along with this, it is now reaching the Maoist Union and the opposition in all seven provinces.

After the general election of 2079, despite winning 32 seats in the House of Representatives, the Maoists, who were "decisive" in the formation of the government due to the competition between the Congress and the UML, have now reached the position of the main opposition.

Dahal, who is also the Maoist chairman, led the government for one and a half years, the longest tenure compared to the past, taking the 'right-left' policy.

Dahal, who left the country with an average performance in economic and administrative work, now has the main task of playing the role of a strong opposition.

During this period, he left and right four times with the electoral alliance. Alliance with Congress in local and general elections, then with UML for three months, and with Congress for one year and four months since the third week of last February till now.

He became the Prime Minister for one and a half years by taking the policy of 'utilizing' the first and second parties, but he showed an unstable character for power . After realizing that the first and second largest parties were used in a 'magical' way, an alliance was formed between the Congress and the UML, the competing political forces of the country from the past to the present.

After the last general election, if Dahal had not adopted so many 'right-left' policies, it would not have been easy for the Congress-UML to become the basis of the alliance.

Dahal has been accused of being a leader of unstable political character, but he has been walking with two options for a specific purpose . Even during the armed war, he took the policy of negotiation together . He held a dialogue with the then King Birendra. When the then King Gyanendra Shah took power after the assassination of King Birendra's dynasty, he collaborated with seven parties including Congress, UML, which brought an end to the monarchy . Dahal calls it from 'concrete analysis of concrete situation' They consider the result.

After the peace process and the first election of the Constituent Assembly, Maoist became a big party. After becoming the Prime Minister for the first time in 2065, he took the two policies of peace and rebellion together. After the failed attempt to execute the then Chief of Army Staff Rukmangat Katwal, the Maoist's descent started .

After that, until the second Constituent Assembly, 2074 and 2079 general elections, Maoist is in the position of the third party . So far, despite participating in 10 out of 13 governments, the Maoists are failing to complete the rest of their movement's issues, the peace process, and the full implementation of the federal republican system.

Dahal, who has taken the authority of the Maoist in his hands, has reached the point of losing the case of the Maoists due to the policy taken for power.

Dahal, who has been the head of the Maoist party for three and a half decades, has been increasingly criticized for his role in establishing a federal republic, secularism, inclusion, and proportional system in the country.

While leaving the government, Dahal strongly criticized the agreement between the Congress and the UML to amend the constitution and warned them to go to the directly elected executive if they dare.

'If we want to amend the constitution, let's go to the directly elected executive . Increase the representation of Dalits and women. Increase the access of the needy' he said, 'You may be feeling like the year 2047 now. Will it go back to that now?'

He has proposed to give 13 percent representation to Dalits if the constitution is amended. "Efforts to stop women, oppressed, Madhesi, minorities in state bodies will not be successful", he said, "let's ensure representation". Let's amend it to 50 percent. What have we men done and ? '

After giving a long explanation of the achievements of his government in the Parliament, Dahal also warned that if they try to use the inclusive and proportional provisions in the constitution, they will be strongly countered.

'It will not be easy to take away the achievements of the people . Don't try to tease the marginal class . Prachanda, who opened the door of peace with the dream of revolution, may not be born soon. It is a constitution born by the people.'' gave .

Political analyst Shyam Shrestha says that even though the Maoists got the mandate to be in the opposition in the last general election, they could not give up their lust for power. He says that by being in the opposition party and reforming the party organization, he forgot to speak for farmers and workers and looked towards power.

'Maoist government was decisive for Narman because Congress and UML did not agree . Another thing is that the Maoist chairman is confused about what to do when he goes to the government. The mandate given by the Maoists is to defend their case by sitting in the opposition.'

Dahal has been a major hand in the political upheavals after the leadership of the ten-year armed war and later the peace process. The policy he has given as party leader for three decades is making waves in Nepali politics from time to time.

The first disruption was when the party led by him won 8 seats under the name of United People's Front and started an armed war in 052. During the war, he reached the peace agreement of 2063 by jumping through the police station and attacking the headquarters. In 2064, the old big party, Congress, became the first party to overtake the UML. Because of this, the Maoist movement has reached a stage of extinction.

Dahal, who considers Marxism, Leninism, Maoism (Malemaism) as guiding principles, has been giving his own interpretation of Marxism. The Maoist center, which took the policy of moving forward on the path of socialist revolution, is getting confused because it has forgotten like a bee in a flower.

Dahal has been saying disorganization in continuity. Last time, after the Congress-UML alliance and 'disruption', Dahal has now joined the opposition. Dahal's charioteer is Madhav Kumar Nepal, President of CPN Unified Socialists in Parliament and CPN General Secretary Netra Vikram Chand on the streets. By including these parties, Dahal has a policy of making Samajwadi Morcha active in the House and on the streets.

After becoming the largest party in the Constituent Assembly of 065, it started its journey with the UML, so sometimes the Congress once again allied with the UML. He was out of the government in nine months when he tried to take action against the then Chief of Army Staff Rukmangat Katwal, who became the Prime Minister in July 065 as the leader of the largest party.

066 When he resigned as Prime Minister for the third time since his sudden resignation from the Prime Ministership, he was not only an opposition leader, but a rebel leader. He also warned that if they tried to use the constitution born of war, sacrifice and movement, they would counter it.

The journey to the past

In the election of 2074, he contested the election in alliance with UML and on 3rd June 2007, he united the party with UML. After that, Dahal divorced UML President Oli in 077 February.

Looking back before that, he supported the then UML president Jhalnath Khanal in 067 by disrupting the order after failing to get a majority for the prime minister for 17 times.

In January 1967, he left the race for the Prime Minister in the Parliament and made the then UML President Khanal the Prime Minister. At that time, he claimed to have formed a nationalist government with his own strength. With the support of the then Congress President Sushil Koirala and even the Maoists who were outside the government, UML President Oli became the Prime Minister in 072 October. After disagreements with Oli, Dahal brought down the Oli government in May 2073. Then he went to cooperate with the Congress. Dahal himself became Prime Minister for the second time in collaboration with the Congress in July 1973. After resigning on 10 June 2074, Deuba became the Prime Minister.

In the face of the general election in November 2074, he formed an electoral alliance with the UML by saying Wapamanthi Ekta. In June 2015, the party was united and formed CPN. Less than three years later, the power struggle with Oli escalated. He divorced Oli after the Supreme Court separated UML-Maoist.

After Oli dissolved the parliament twice, the Maoists came to the streets with the Congress and returned to the government after the advice of the Supreme Court. Dahal supported Deuba as Prime Minister saying that he would protect the constitution. Coordinated with Congress in local, union, state elections in 079. After the election results, Congress did not give Dahal the prime ministership and joined hands with the UML to become the prime minister.

Out of 13 governments formed after 2065, Maoist is in the opposition only during three governments . In May 2066, then UML's senior leader Madhav Kumar was in Nepal's government, in 2069 under Khilraj Regmi's cabinet and in February 2070, during the government of then Congress president Sushil Koirala, the Maoists were in the opposition only. Out of the 13 governments formed after the first Constituent Assembly in 2064, 10 of the governments included Maoists. remained . But despite being in the Maoist government, he has almost failed to implement the people-oriented program that he was raising during the armed war. Because of this, his organization has been struggling.

The public opinion is going down

The largest party was the largest party in the first Constituent Assembly election after the peace process. At that time, he had won 120 direct seats, 100 proportional seats and 9 nominated seats, and 229 seats. It got 31 lakh 44 thousand 204 votes in proportional.

In the second Constituent Assembly held in 2070, the Maoists became the third party by winning 80 seats with 26 directly and 54 proportionally. He got 14 lakh 39 thousand votes proportionally. After the promulgation of the constitution in 2072, in the general election held in 2074, Maoists won 53 seats including 26 directly and 17 proportionally. He got 1.3 lakh 3 thousand votes at that time.

The downward journey of Maoists was also seen in the 2079 general elections. In that election, the Maoists won 18 direct and 14 proportional seats in the House of Representatives. Even though it came in the third place with 11 lakh 62 thousand votes on the proportional side, it has been decisive for the formation of the government.

While analyzing the percentage of votes obtained by Maoist, it seems that his public opinion is gradually decreasing. 29 percent in 2064, 15 percent in 2070, 13 percent in 2074, until the last general election, he got around 11 percent of votes.