Although the four-party coalition has formed a new government, there have been doubts about its stability at the beginning. The Upendra Yadav-led JSP has remained outside the coalition, while the Madhav Nepal-led Unified Socialists have been brought in, and the coalition has secured a majority. However, with 28 days left for the vote of confidence, the old game for power is likely to repeat itself.

Currently, the government led by Dahal has the support of 139 MPs from UML (76), Maoist (32), RSWP (21) and CPN (S) (10). One hundred and thirty-eight votes are mandatory for the government to receive a vote of confidence. Jaspa did not participate in the government on Wednesday to sign the new alliance when it was announced on Monday. Chairman Yadav has not been able to gather a majority within the party to participate in the government. At least seven out of 12 members of Jaspa are not in favor of this alliance, said the members of that party. 

Jaspa leader Rajkishore Yadav said that although there is no serious dispute in the party about going to the government, the issues raised by the Madhesh government and his party are important. The issue we have raised and the leadership of the Madhesh state government. If we agree on these issues, we will go to the government," he said to Kantipur. Although there is currently a Jaspa-led government in Madhesh, it can only survive if it gets the support of UML, Maoists and S. The participation of CPN (Unified Socialist) in the federal government has increased the possibility of JSP also entering the government, but the leaders say that the party will decide on this matter on Thursday. 

Prime Minister Dahal and UML President KP Sharma Oli did their homework to gather 165 MPs in favor of the government, including not only Jaspa (12), Janmat (6) led by CK Raut, LOSPA led by Mahant Thakur (4) and LOSPA led by Resham Chaudhary (4). had done But now the JSP is also undecided, so it seems that the coming days will be tough for the government. 

On Wednesday, after the 20-member cabinet was formed under the leadership of Prime Minister Dahal, there is a constitutional provision that two ministers and three state ministers can be added. For this, the Prime Minister has kept the Ministries of Health and Forests and Environment with himself. If Jaspa or any other party does not participate in the coalition, even if the government gets a vote of confidence, the coming days will be difficult. RPP (14) is sure not to participate in this alliance. On the other hand, since the UML, the largest party in the coalition, has not sent a 'big' leader, many have questioned its trust in the government. In the 18-member secretariat of UML, apart from President Oli, only 6 officials are MPs. Among the top leaders are Vice President Vishnu Paudel, Deputy Secretary General Prithvi Subba Gurung and Secretaries Gokarna Bista, Yogesh Bhattarai, Chavi Lal Vishwakarma and Raghuveer Mahaseth MP. But UML has sent secretary Mahaseth to the government by making him the leader of the party. 

Vice President Paudel, the planner of the new alliance, is also expected to join the government, but he himself has withdrawn. He had already informed President Oli two days ago that he would not go to ministries other than those claimed by Maoists in finance and RSVP in home affairs. When looking for an alternative to Paudel, Oli chose Mahaseth. 

Political analysis of Prime Minister Dahal and President Oli Chuke is being done on the need to create an environment in which Poudel must participate in the government to strengthen the cabinet and to keep the political dialogue alive between the allied parties. Paudel himself said that there would be no problem as he sent another senior leader to the government. He said, "We have gone to the government under the leadership of Party Secretary Raghuveer Mahaseth, who has been Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs. Government has been led by officials. There is no other reason for this.' He said that since the biggest agenda for UML is Mission 084, he will also focus on the work of the organization to make it successful. 

UML sent the current 6 ministers to the Dahal-led government a year ago. However, Paudel was the leader at that time. Paudel, who is now the same minister again, said, 'Last time he was able to work as a minister for only two months. They have now continued to complete the work they started. It has been decided to send them to the government again with the belief that they will do good work.'

On the other hand, he himself has said that the geopolitical balance is not in his favor. On Tuesday, in the meeting of the party office bearers, he has indicated the challenge to come by saying that 'India does not like the new alliance'.

Maoist Secretary Devendra Poudel also believes that it is a challenge to move smoothly. But if the government shows its work in development, prosperity and public service as expected by the people, the challenge will be reduced. If it is not possible to work in a positive manner, the people may think that this government is only for the game of chairs and the challenge will be added to the government," he said. Since the Congress has already withdrawn its support on Tuesday, the next government should take the vote of confidence within Chait 21. On the other hand, since the Congress has started the initiative of an alternative alliance, Dahal is facing a challenge to move the power equation smoothly.

Deuba met Madhav Kumar Nepal, president of the United Samajwadi Party, at his residence in Koteshwar on Wednesday and offered him the post of Prime Minister. Chief whip of the party's parliamentary party, Ramesh Ukhtar and his wife Arju, Deuba said to Nepal, "Now you be the prime minister, don't be hasty about going to the government now". CPN (S) leader Prakash Jwala confirmed that he has received an 'offer' from the Congress that he can go under your leadership. Congress had no difficulty in making Madhav Nepal the Prime Minister. We had already made a written agreement that after Prachanda, Nepal would become Prime Minister, even in the current crisis, the proposal to become the Prime Minister of Nepal was not strange, he said. But the leaders say that Nepal has not been able to give a positive response to this proposal because there is no support within the party.