Curiosity has increased in Nepali politics regarding the meeting between Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli and his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi in Thailand on Friday. Diplomats say that the answer to whether the meeting is just a formality or a sign of improvement in long-standing strained relations between the two countries will come from Indian behavior within a few days.

But while the Nepali side is working hard for the sideline meeting, the government side claims that Indian Prime Minister Modi's approval to sit in the 'one to one' talks should be considered as a positive indicator at first sight .

In a similar sideline meeting in New York in the first week of last October, Modi refused to sit in the 'one to one' talks. At that time, Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar and Secretary Vikram Misri participated with Modi, while Foreign Minister Arju Rana Deuba, Prime Minister Oli's political advisor Bishnu Rimal and Secretary Seva Lamsal participated from Nepal.

Even after nine months have passed since Oli became the Prime Minister for the fourth time, India has not given him a formal invitation for a visit. Oli has become an exception to the tradition of inviting the Prime Minister immediately after the formation of a new government in Nepal. After the constitution was promulgated, ever since he became the prime minister, there has been an ups and downs relationship between Oli and Modi at the personal level as well.

This time the Congress-UML alliance was formed against India's wishes. The agreement on the implementation of the BRI became a further thorn. After that, the Indian media analyzed that Nepal was leaning towards China and trying to get away from India's influence, while the Indian ruling party started to look hostile to the UML-Congress alliance. After forming the

alliance, Congress has made various efforts to make Oli visit India. But after the signing of the BRI framework, India seems to have become more disaffected. This has given a message that India is irritated, the effect of which is starting to be seen even in street politics, according to Nepali leaders.

The violent incident of Chait 15 has brought the pro-republican parties together and made them realize that they should not spoil their relations with India further. Leaders suspect India's role in boosting the morale of former King Gyanendra Shah and his supporters. In addition, doubt has been added because Durga Prasai, who reached India, was not informed about Nepal.

According to police sources, Prasai, the main accused in the incident of Chait 15, is now in India. It is understood that a Nepal Police team has reached India to arrest him, but due to Indian non-cooperation, he has not been arrested yet. He himself violated the ban by driving and reaching India overnight, adding to the political mystery.

If relations with India do not improve, politics will become more fluid. By playing on that, the opponents of the system are likely to lead the country towards instability by raising the slogan of re-establishment of Hindu state and monarchy. Even if one Durga Prasai is removed from the road, there is also a danger of another Prasai being born.

The meeting with Thailand shows that Prime Minister Oli now wants to clear the misunderstanding with India. He is seen in 'preparation to take a step back and move forward'. The pressure of Sahayatri Congress is also important in this.

According to the seven-point agreement reached between Congress and UML on June 17, Oli became the Prime Minister. His term is now 15 months left, after which it is agreed that Congress President Sher Bahadur Deuba will become the Prime Minister.

Can Congress wait 15 months with disagreements with India? It seems that the Congress, which has traditionally been unable to maintain distance from India, has taken this issue seriously and Oli has also understood it. Oli also understands that to take the

alliance into a long-term relationship, the relationship with India must be improved in one way or another. After being repeatedly betrayed by Maoist Chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal, the Congress and UML have been determined to go together till 2084.