The possibility of representation of Madhesh-centric political parties in the new House of Representatives seems low.

Out of the 165 seats in the direct route, none of the Madhesh-centric political parties, JSP Nepal, Janamat or Rastriya Mukti Party Nepal, are in a position to win. The results in the proportional route also do not seem to be in favor of these parties.

Madhesh-centric political parties, which emerged since 2048 by raising Madhesh issues, have been present in all parliaments since then. But this time, these parties have been seen far behind in the electoral competition.

According to the results of the votes till Saturday night, out of the total 32 seats in Madhesh, the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) has won 11 seats, while its own candidates have taken a wide lead in 19 seats. The NCP is ahead in Dhanusha-1 and the Congress in Rautahat-2.

JSP Nepal is in second place in four constituencies in Madhesh. It is in fifth and sixth place in all other constituencies. CK Raut-led Janamat Party is not in the race in all constituencies of Madhesh.

Madhesh-centric parties are also far behind in the proportional representation. There is a legal provision that 3 percent of the total number of votes must be deducted to win a seat in the proportional representation, which has a total of 110 seats. In the vote counting till Saturday night, out of 635,381 votes counted in the proportional representation, JSP has got 2,445 votes and Janamat has got 1,811 votes. Rastriya Mukti Party has 1,744 votes.

In Saptari-3, JSP Nepal Chairman Upendra Yadav is more than 10,000 votes behind Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh candidate Amar Kant Chaudhary. Janamat Party Chairman CK Raut, who entered parliamentary politics in the 2079 elections, is in third place in Saptari-2. He is more than 7,000 votes behind Ramji Yadav of Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, who is in first place.

In the 2079 elections, Raut and Upendra were in a contest in Saptari-2. Raut's political stature had increased after defeating Upendra, while Janmat had emerged as an alternative political force in Madhesh. At that time, Raut had won over Yadav by a wide margin of 15,000. Raut's parliamentary journey began from there. However, he and the Janmat Party had to decline within three years.

Yadav, who established himself in national politics by leading the Madhesh uprising in Magh 2063, had won consecutively in the first and second Constituent Assembly elections of 2064 and 2070 and the House of Representatives elections of 2074. After losing to Raut in 2079, Yadav won the election from Bara-2 in the by-election and reached parliament.

Under Yadav's leadership, the Madhesi Janadhikar Forum won 52 seats in the Constituent Assembly of 2064, including 30 out of 240 seats directly and 22 through proportional representation. The Forum had 54 seats in the first Constituent Assembly, including 2 out of 26 to be nominated to the Council of Ministers. In the elections held 18 years later, the number of seats of the Yadav-led JSP Nepal has reached zero.

JSP Nepal had merged with the Mahantha Thakur-led LSP at the beginning of the elections. It had also incorporated a group of other Madhesh leaders into the party. However, due to the wave of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) seen across the country, the unification of the Madhesh-centric parties could not prove fruitful.

JSP Nepal leader Sharat Singh Bhandari, who has been winning elections continuously since the Panchayat period and has been a minister many times, has also been defeated. Bhandari was defeated by Deepak Kumar Sah of the RSS in Mahottari-2 by a margin of more than 22,000 votes. After being elected to the National Assembly, Thakur had given a ticket to his daughter Meenakshi Thakur in Mahottari-3. In the ongoing vote counting, while Ujjwal Kumar Jha of the RSS is leading in this election, Meenakshi is far behind.

Hridayesh Tripathi, who started politics from Sadbhavana Party in 2048 BS, to Rajendra Mahato will not be present in the parliament this time. JSP candidate Hridayesh Tripathi from Nawalparasi (Bardaghat Susta West)-1 is more than 15,000 votes behind Bikram Khanal of the Rashtriya Mukti Party Nepal. Mahato, who is leading the Rastriya Mukti Party Nepal through Sadbhavana, RJP, JSP and LOSPA, has secured fourth place in Sarlahi-2. While Rabin Mahato of the Rashtriya Mukti Party got 42,512 votes, Mahato got 5,992 votes.

Whether it is the old political parties, Congress, UML, NCP or JSP, Janmat, voters have a similar view of all these parties, says political analyst Tulanarayan Sah. 'It is fine if you fought for democracy, democracy, republic or Madhesh, but now if we give a chance to the new ones for once, the opinion has been seen,' he said, 'Voters have looked for a new party and a new face. While the whole of Nepal was looking for the same, Madhesh has also done the same.’

He said that this time, the influence of senior Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh leader Balendra Shah has been seen in Madhesh. Shah said that the voters were impressed that Shah did a good job when he was the mayor of Kathmandu, that he was an honest and fearless leader, and the voting results were seen accordingly.

In the 2048 elections, Nepal Sadbhavana led by Gajendra Narayan Singh entered parliament for the first time, establishing itself as a party that carried regional issues and spoke the voice of the entire Madhesh. At that time, Sadbhavana gained recognition as a national party by winning 6 seats. Before that, the Tarai Congress, which was born by raising the issue of Madhesh, did not win a single seat in the 2015 elections. The political parties that raised the Madhesh issue, which entered parliament 30 years after that, have now been pushed back 34 years.

Sadbhavana had won 3 seats in 2051 and 5 seats in 2056. Madhesh-centric parties emerged as a political force in the first Constituent Assembly elections held after the Madhesh rebellion of 2063 and the second Madhesh movement of 2064. Thakur left the Congress and formed the Terai Madhesh Democratic Party on 13 Poush 2064.

In the first Constituent Assembly, Tamalopa had 21 seats, including 1 nominated, and Sadbhavana had 9 seats. However, after the Forum, Tamalopa, and Sadbhavana split over power, these parties shrank from the second Constituent Assembly elections of 2070. In the second Constituent Assembly elections of 2070, the Forum had 15 seats, Tamalopa had 11 seats, and Sadbhavana had 6 seats.