Geopolitics transformed into resource wars

The proxy-wars in the world for the control of resources do not seem to have led to the development of resource-rich countries, rather, those countries seem to have become more geopolitically weak. Many wars or external facilitation or attempts by the powers that have been started to solve those wars, in all of them, the occupation, control and exploitation of resources appear in front.

श्रावण ११, २०८२

गोपाल खनाल

Geopolitics transformed into resource wars

What you should know

Why do wars happen? The reasons are various. But the wars or conflicts of the 21st century seem to be primarily about the control of important resources. Now, no matter how many wars are seen in different geographies, they are not guided by ideology. World Wars I and II were not just for geographical expansion. Nor are two opposing ideological currents created, as they were during the Cold War.

There is a thin veil between the boundaries of capitalism and socialism at the moment, from a practical point of view. The discussion of principles has now also become secondary. When the interest of the ruler or power is moving towards world reorganization and reorganization, the world of ideas and arguments cannot put a wall on anyone. 

War is not happening for the political system. Because from the point of view of the system, starting from prehistoric times, caste leadership, religious leadership, autocratic monarchy, constitutional monarchy, democracy, and now republic and in some countries 'hybrid' system are being practiced. Whether they are capitalist countries or socialist and communist, all have gone through this phase.

The left, the right, and the status quo have all been affected and haunted by the character of this system. It is a fact that political systems also have a life cycle and after a certain period of time they may repeat themselves in a new form.

Religious and ethnic issues are also partial causes of war in some places, but not the main cause. The expansion of geography may still be visible, but there are hidden agendas, whose targets lie elsewhere. While pre-emptive wars may take place on the grounds of security threats, they are more artificial. Israel's attack on Iran was similar, dubbed a defensive attack, which could not be verified.

But when we get to the root of almost all wars, we come to the conclusion: there is a war for resources, that is, a war on resources (resource war). War over natural resources is not new, but today it has come into view as a core trend of global politics and tensions. And, because of this, the Shaktish nations have lost their character and are either directly involved in war or are fighting a proxy war.

Russia-Ukraine war, Mossad-Hamas war, many wars in the past or any number of external facilitation or efforts of the powers that have been started to resolve those wars, all of them show the possession, control and exploitation of resources. Today's wars seem to be for the control of important natural resources such as oil, gas, minerals, water or rare earth minerals. Even within the interference of Shaktishrastra, which entered in the name of solving, there is monitoring and control of the precious resources of those countries. Diplomacy is 'win-win', similarly today's diplomacy has become business diplomacy.

The conflicts that have emerged in the world today, the proxy characters involved and those who instigate them, aim not to protect the nation, but to control the natural resources. Citizens in those countries should be able to feel freedom, not that the country should be developed. Therefore, there are few examples of countries becoming countries with foreign aid or subsidies. Even if it is tried to make a comment like

or cover, the only minerals of the alleged Shaktishrastra are those minerals, which can control the upcoming world power. This article discusses the hidden agendas behind today's wars. In doing so, the fact that some of the major wars of the past were fought under what cover and for what underlying purpose is also remembered.

First let's analyze some past wars.

Let's start with the 2003 Iraq war. The US-led coalition invaded Iraq in 2003, revealing what it said were nuclear weapons. Iraq was said to possess weapons of mass destruction and pose a threat to world security.

The then US President George William Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair claimed that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein had nuclear, chemical and biological weapons of mass destruction. Another reason was that Saddam had links with the terrorist organization al-Qaeda. But both these allegations could not be proved. 

After US control of Iraq, an Iraqi survey team searched for weapons of mass destruction, but none were found. A 2004 US government report reported that no such weapons had been found. So it became clear that the specific objective was control over Iraq's vast oil reserves.

is proof of that - the statement of the former US Federal Reserve Chair Ivan Alan Greenspan - 'The Iraq war was mainly for oil (The Guardian, 2007).' Bush and Blair did not prepare the mission to remove Saddam from power for the love of the Iraqi people and for their democracy. It was established that Saddam was an autocrat, but it was also established that the Western mission was not for democracy.

He was captured by US forces in December 2003, tried by the Iraqi Special Court and sentenced to death for crimes against humanity. The reason was the killing of 148 Shia Iraqis in 1982. That is why America is criticized even today in this war and American professors have been strongly criticizing it. Noam Chomsky himself said - 'It was an imperialist attack.'

Let's go from Iraq to Afghanistan. The United States fought a global war in Afghanistan against the Taliban and Al-Qaeda, but finally after 21 years, the United States withdrew after handing over power to the Taliban. It was America that gave birth to the Taliban again. Because the CIA ran "Operation Cyclone" to remove the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan in 1979 and provided training, war funds and weapons to the Afghan mujahuddin and the Taliban. 

This war began after Al-Qaeda attacked the American Twin Towers on September 11. At first glance, it seems that the war he waged was triggered by an attack on his immune system. But the real reason is the rare earth and minerals in Afghanistan.

According to one estimate, Afghanistan has natural resources worth 1 to 3 trillion dollars. These include lithium, rare earths, copper and iron. The US Geological Survey named Afghanistan the 'Saudi Arabia of Lithium'. Required for lithium batteries and electronics. 

Now let's go to Congo in Africa. The Democratic Republic of Congo is rich in coltan, cobalt and gold, which are important for smartphones, electric vehicles and military hardware. Millions of people have died because of the ongoing war there, the Second Congo War or the African World War. Its purpose is access and control over those substances. Multinational companies, military groups and foreign powers are fueling instability there to exploit those resources. Basically there is a proxy war between America and China. 

is another region like that - South China Sea. The interests of China and America are clashing there. China naturally tried to control its own backyard. US President Donald Trump is currently centralizing his power in the Indo-Pacific region, with the main objective of controlling the expanding influence of Chinese power. The American understanding seems to be that if China controls the South China Sea, it will also control the minerals there, which will ultimately make it more strategically stronger.

The South China Sea is considered important for oil, gas reserves and fisheries. There is a vested interest in access to strategic sea lanes, even more so in access to potential oil and gas reserves. According to US Energy Information Administration estimates, the region holds 11 billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. 

Now let's look at the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. This war is not just a geopolitical war or a war of identity. It is a battle for control of energy corridors, minerals, agriculture and supply chains. This is a major war being fought on European soil over these resources, which are considered vital to the 21st century world economy.

Since Ukraine is a transit point for Russia to export natural gas to Europe, Russia believes that if it can maintain control over it, it can affect Europe's energy security. Also, Ukraine is rich in minerals and rare earths. There are large resources of lithium, titanium, iron and uranium. There is also a proxy war going on for control over these. 

Although the main reason for the war was control over resources, Russia wanted NATO's expansion not to be around it, not to reach eastward, from a security point of view. But after Volodymyr Zelenskiy made the main issue of becoming a NATO member to Vladimir Putin under the guise of America and Europe, the second phase of the war started on February 24, 2022.

is another evidence that the US is involved in the war over resources - the terms and conditions of President Trump's cease-fire. Trump's main focus is on Ukraine's vast lithium reserves. He failed to announce an end to the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 hours of becoming president. And the agreement between the two presidents proves that he wants the minerals there, not the end of the war.

Considering that the US provided about 300 billion US dollars to Ukraine to fight the war with Russia, he proposed to give 500 billion US dollars worth of minerals to the US. It was signed on April 30. 

Apart from these, other wars, conflicts or competitions are also going on. For example, competition in the Arctic region. Shaktishrastra is seen in competition as the oil, gas and minerals that could not be mined there can now be mined gradually after the snow melts. The sea route appears to be controlled by Russia, where it is working with China to mine minerals, which the US is worried about. Another potential war is looming as a war in space.

The competition to go or take to space is going on, but now Shaktishrastra's eyes will be on moon mining and asteroid minerals. Similarly, the water war is also emerging as a conflict over resources. At a time when water is scarce, the idea that the Nile, Bahamputra and Jordan rivers are water sources and must be controlled is emerging as a tension.

Now let's look at the context of Nepal. Surveys such as iron mines in Dhaubadi of Nawalparasi, lead and copper mines in Ganesh Himal, limestone used in cement, zinc, lead, cobalt, nickel, gold and uranium in Lamtang area have come from Nepal. The government also estimates that there are very important minerals in about 30 different areas of the country.

However, due to the lack of real geological mapping and excavation of all of them, the interest between Shaktishrastra has not been able to rise to the level of competition. But recently, after it was announced that there is a potential of 1.12 billion cubic meters of natural gas from the drilling done by Chinese surveyors in Dailekh's aquifers, the interest of Shaktishrastra will increase. If we estimate the four potential areas that are still to be drilled, it is said that there could be about 430 billion cubic meters of gas. It is said to last up to 50 years for domestic gas needs.

Excavation has become beyond, due to the power of not even discovering the potential of its own minerals, Nepal takes external help, but we must be careful not to attract geopolitical competition and conflict because of Nepal itself. The proxy wars that have taken place in the world to control resources do not seem to have led to the development of resource-rich countries, rather, those countries seem to have become more geopolitically weak.

Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli has taken the initiative in mining and prospecting of minerals in the country, due to his thinking and activism, mining is now starting from water. The manner in which Prime Minister Oli has promoted foreign relations with national interest at the center, the reflection of this is being seen in Nepal's important mineral studies and excavations. It is ushering in a phase of self-reliance and interdependence, which is pleasant.

गोपाल खनाल खनाल पत्रकार तथा राजनीतिक विष्लेषक हुन् । उनी मुख्यगरी भूराजनीति विषयमा नियमित लेख्छन् । उनको ‘भूराजनीति’ पुस्तक समेत प्रकाशित छ ।

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