Both Russia and Ukraine have been burdened by the war, and now, the overuse of drones has added a new dimension of 'drone-war' to the doctrine of war.
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US President Donald Trump met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky after marathon meetings with French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
The meeting with Zelensky was completely contentious. From mocking Zelensky's attire to Vice President J.D. Vance's demeanor and Trump's demeanor, it seemed like a flouting of diplomatic dignity. Even as Trump and Vance came together to show off Ukraine and Zelensky in a well-planned manner, Zelensky seemed to fight back and face it bravely.
Due to a seemingly one-sided debate, the White House program to correct the mineral deal in Ukraine was disrupted. However, Zelensky, who had to leave the White House in such a humiliated way, managed to get support from the summit with the help of European countries including Britain and Canada and Australia. With the end of the Ukraine war, the summit prepared a blueprint for a peace agreement with a proposal to keep a peacekeeping force of the UK and the European Union, and for the support of the US president
has been submitted. As the dispute continues, the US has made Zelensky's return to the White House conditional on him first apologizing, which he clearly should have done otherwise. In the meantime, the United States stopped the "intelligence" exchange with Ukraine and even military equipment, forcing Zelensky to bow down due to the current situation. Zelensky has said that he is ready for peace talks with Trump after "fixing the broken things", and Trump has also said that Zelensky is ready for talks.
After Russia annexed Crimea in February 2014, it began supporting Russian-backed separatist groups fighting in Donbas. On February 24, 2022, Putin invaded Ukraine under the pretext of a "special military operation" to "demilitarize and de-Nazify" Ukraine. Using the pretext of the referendum, Putin announced the annexation of the partially subordinate provinces of eastern and southern Ukraine - Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhia and Kherson - into Russia. Thus, by the year 2024, almost 20 percent of the territory of Ukraine remained under Russian control. Between 30 and 35 million Ukrainians are estimated to be living in Russian-occupied lands.
Russia has now claimed the occupied land. Ukraine calls the territory an encroachment. Now, Ukraine's "conditions for peace" are that Russia must withdraw from all of the above-mentioned encroached lands. Russia's condition is to keep all the invaded lands with it and return only all the lands it claims but not under full Russian control.
Review of the war
Knowing that Russia would not allow a 'NATO' member country near its borders under any circumstances, Zelensky strongly desired and tried to become a member at the instigation of others. This became his obsession. Russia's attack had to be endured. Ukraine is facing this predicament today because of Zelensky's lack of knowledge about real geopolitical issues and his immaturity.
On the other hand, Russia made a strategic mistake by overestimating its military power and underestimating Ukraine. If Russia had launched an unprecedented attack with full force, Ukraine would probably have been forced to agree to Russia's terms within weeks. Underestimating and slowly attacking, Ukraine had time to react. A retaliatory war could be fought with external help. It came to this day by fighting. This is where Russia's strategic mistake happened.
Because of this mistake, the US and NATO countries received valuable information about Russia's military power and capabilities in the form of 'intelligence'. Which 'intelligence' could hardly have been obtained even after spending billions of dollars. The ultra-nationalist Zelenskyi and his staunch allies have plunged Ukraine into a destructive war that will never be won and will never be won. In Ukraine, where the war cannot be fought without American military support, when the US tried to raise the question of the military aid given in the war through the agreement with "Critical Minerals" in Ukraine, only then did Zelensky find out that even during the war, no aid will be free.
On the other hand, Russia has taught Ukraine a lesson but has not won the war even after occupying that part of Ukraine. Both sides are burdened by this war, now. The excessive use of drones in this war has also added a new dimension of drone-war to the theory of war.
is currently causing a stir in the world due to US President Trump's unorthodox strategic thinking and actions and aggressive state management style. Perhaps a similar initiative by Trump could lead to an agreement to stop the war in Ukraine. In this way, despite fighting for themselves, Western countries and especially America have benefited from the war that seems to be a 'proxy war'. It can ensure access to critical minerals, cheap energy like gas, food and other commodities from Russia and Ukraine.
A possible end to war
The basis of the American economy is the 'war economy'. Based on this, America has been able to maintain the status of a special "super power" in the world. A sustainable source of such an economy is the 'Defence Industrial Complex' and its associated industries. The question of the US investment in the Ukrainian war will probably be made by the US through an agreement to claim a 50 percent share of the "rear-earth" in Ukraine, including other "critical minerals". Ukraine has also indicated that it is ready to enter into this agreement to ensure Ukrainian security. The United States continues to pressure Russia for a peace agreement with several restrictive measures, and continues to hold high-level meetings in Saudi Arabia for the end of the Ukraine war. However, even in the meantime, both sides have continued to attack each other.
Ukraine war likely to end due to increasingly good understanding between Trump and Putin.
Recently, Ukraine has accepted the 30-day cease-fire proposal made by the United States in the talks held in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Russia's answer is yet to come. Trump is holding talks with Putin this week about the ceasefire proposal, and Russia's foreign minister has also said he will meet with US officials. It has also been agreed between the US and Ukraine to conclude the agreement on critical minerals as soon as possible. Due to this, the US will immediately open the closed military cooperation and "intelligence" exchange on Ukraine. Now there is a high possibility that Russia will agree to the ceasefire proposal and the peace process will move forward. In this way, the conditions that both parties and facilitators can keep in the process of making a peace agreement can be as follows-
1. The U.S. may mediate formal discussions on returning some of the lands held by Russia to Ukraine that are tied to sentimental significance.
2. UN military observers and peacekeepers could be deployed to monitor the security of Ukraine and the temporary ceasefire agreement. When such a peacekeeping force is only from European countries, the peacekeeping force of "NATO" looks similar and is not accepted by Russia, so it seems that a peacekeeping force with the participation of European countries as well as other non-aligned countries like Nepal can be kept with mixed and friendly observers. Some United Nations observer and advisory military teams will need to remain until later to facilitate a long-term end to the war.
3. The US and European countries can help with loans and grants for the reconstruction of Ukraine. In addition, there may be many treaties and agreements between Russia and Ukraine and between Russia, Ukraine and European countries. There may be written agreements and understandings between the US, Russia, Ukraine and NATO.
Because of this war, Ukraine has learned a lesson on how to get along with its neighboring big powerful country. Even after the war, Ukraine's transition will not end easily. Some dissident factions and ultra-nationalist groups are likely to stage some form of rebellion against both Russia and Ukraine. Zelensky's future after the war does not seem secure. The nation of Ukraine is facing a major economic crisis, but due to the immense resources and potential in Ukraine, if managed well, Ukraine can soon come out of this economic challenge.
Even after the war, the Ukrainian people will have to live with a past that cannot be forgotten and pain that cannot be accounted for. Due to the loss of life, their territory and self-respect and the changes in political and geographical dimensions, they will have to live with hatred for generations.
At this time, Trump's way of presenting international affairs and his style of getting things done, even if it is by force, does not seem so humorous and diplomatically friendly. However, his extreme right-wing style of action with ultra-nationalist thinking like America First and 'MAGA' cannot be underestimated. If due to his fast pace and style of action, the end of the "Gaza War" and "Ukraine War" and the end of the "Ukraine War" will lead to positive results, then it will not be strange if Trump receives the "Nobel Peace Prize". – Bhandari is a retired Brigadier General of the Nepali Army
