US President Donald Trump has welcomed Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Washington as the third foreign head of government. Before that, he welcomed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (February 3-8) and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiwa (February 6) to the White House. Trump's hospitality shows not only his strategic priority, but also his strategic partnership. However, a sustainable strategic alliance cannot be gauged from invitations to visit.

In addition, after becoming president, Trump called Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) on January 22 to consult on trade and investment expansion, according to which Saudi Arabia committed to invest 600 billion US dollars for four years. On February 12, Trump and Russian President Putin had a 90-minute telephone conversation, in which they discussed an immediate end to the Russia-Ukraine war. Both of them also formally invited each other to visit. Although there are differences in Cold War-era enmity and national priorities, Trump and Putin's chemistry seems to match. 

President Trump made some important decisions in line with his campaign promises, the implementation of which has already begun. First, by threatening to retake control of the Panama Canal, making US ships duty-free there, he also forced Panama to withdraw from China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). He understood that China used this canal strategically to connect the Pacific and Andhra oceans in a short distance. 

Similarly, according to the mandate issued by him, from January 25, the 'Gulf of Mexico' was transformed into the 'Gulf of America', which was countered by the President of Mexico, Claudia Seinbaum. She said that if the name is to be changed unilaterally, North America will be declared 'America Mexicana'. His sudden decision to pull out of the World Health Organization (WHO) and the Paris climate accord shows that America's power is waning. Trump is destroying the world institutions that the US took the initiative to build after World War II, which Beijing is protecting instead. Illegal immigrants numbering 11 million are being returned with nails and handcuffs as per the repatriation plan. He has increased tariffs by 25 percent on Mexico and Canada, the largest trade partners with the United States, and 10 percent on China. Just before the talks with Modi, Trump announced that he would impose tariffs on US exports as much as those countries tax them. In other words, a similar policy. Similarly, they have announced that Palestinians will be moved to neighboring countries and make comfortable housing in Gaza. In other words, they said that it will be made into a tourist city like the French Riviera built in southern France, the Middle Eastern Riviera, which only Israel is in favor of. That is, Trump is implementing the policy of 'making America great again', 'America first' and 'protectionism'. 

Similarly, he has adopted three policies on the economy. Cut the federal budget deficit to three percent, increase gross domestic product by three percent, and produce three million barrels of oil every day. He has adopted a policy of 'drill, drill and drill', according to which aggressive exploration and production of oil and gas. 

If you look at these policies that have been announced and implemented, it seems that Trump is really powerful. Or, is he on the defensive? Are you going to destroy this world order? Are you determined to fight a multilateral war? Let's look at one angle of the question, where America has a tragedy that Trump wants to end. So that America can feel as safe as ever. 

is not the danger of geography, but the threat of geopolitical bhumri. America is probably one of the safest countries in the world from a geographical point of view, with no threats from around. Again, there was no invasion of American territory, and there was immediate retrenchment where it happened. An example of this is: in World War I, when Germany attacked a British submarine and 128 American citizens were killed, then in 1915 America entered the war. Similarly, in World War II, when Japan attacked Paul Harbor on December 7, 1941, the United States entered the war. This is an example of World War II. When the American Twin Towers were attacked, the US launched a war on terror, killing Osama bin Laden in Abbottabad, while the Pakistani government was not informed.

But now the situation has changed. 

First: American superpower is in question. To say that the world is multipolar means the creation of multiple powers, including India, Brazil, South Africa, Turkey, Indonesia, etc. As China became a superpower, it became America's main competitor. Now Trump must adopt two strategies to make America great again. First, China must be controlled by any means necessary to stop its expanding influence externally. Within that, the communication network extended by BRI and China should be destroyed. It started from Panama. The second is: America should be protected from all kinds of threats and the economy should be improved. Naturally, his external target seems to be China. But it is not possible for the US alone to control China through the use of force. That is why former President Joe Biden took a policy of reducing the Chinese threat rather than a policy of complete prohibition against China. 

Instead, Trump will use Asian partner India to limit Chinese influence. Indications of this are seen in the priority welcome given to Indian Prime Minister Modi, the joint press conference and the summary included in the joint statement issued during the visit. His policy of suppressing China cannot succeed unless India supports America. India is also not comfortable breaking its policy of 'neutrality' and entering the American camp and maintaining hostile relations with China. Also, India is less likely to have a long-term strategic relationship with the US at the expense of China. Because Modi and Jaishankar's policy is to protect Indian interests, for which hostility with China may cost Delhi dearly. Again, as Trump is trying to make India a 'client state' of his defense materials, for that, he needs to break the dependence on Russia for military materials, which New Delhi cannot do now. So Trump cannot get the support he wants from Modi and Putin. He considers Putin a friend, guided by the strategic objective of controlling Chinese power, which is not of a permanent nature. An example of this is the pressure on Ukraine to make a peace deal as is. But Putin is unlikely to side with Trump against China as China, Russia and India are collaborating to replace the Western-led world order and establish a new one. BRICS, Global South, SCO are examples of that. 

Second: The changing geopolitical environment. The geopolitical advantage that America was taking is fragmenting. That is, the maritime communication network that China and Russia are expanding. which facilitates access to or around the US. To which Trump is feeling insecure. That is why he is trying to put pressure on Beijing under the guise of Russia. But the Kremlin and Synagogue understand the White House's divisive policy. In the 1970s, the US used China to fight against the Soviet Union. 

Now let's go back to where the threat to Trump comes from. That is: Northern Sea Route (NSR). Russia's Arctic coast is a developing strategic maritime corridor, reducing the maritime cargo distance between Europe and Asia. This sea route is also being established as an alternative route to the Suez Canal and Malacca Strait. As soon as this route is used as an international trade route, it will be fully controlled by Russia. 

This corridor passes through Russia's Arctic coastline through the Bering Strait (sea route between Russia and Alaska) and enters the Pacific Ocean. And, through that, it can reach American ports like Seattle, Vancouver and Los Angeles. Trump is going to fail it, thinking that it will be a security challenge for the United States in the long run because it will be controlled by Russia and China will also join. However, this new sea route is not without obstacles. 

The US and Canada want to keep the Arctic region in their security and trade zone. Russia has Arctic ports and icebreakers, but North America does not. The US concern here is that the corridor will be fully controlled by Russia, which could impose high tariffs on US ships and even block the route. Similarly, China is investing in Arctic trade under the 'Polar Silk Road', which could increase Chinese influence in the region. If the route becomes fully operational, Asia and Europe will give less priority to US-influenced trade routes like the Suez Canal and the Malacca Strait, which could reduce US strategic reach.  The

is another: the anxiety created by China and Russia's long-range missiles. Russia and China have longer-range ballistic missiles than the US. Russia has developed an intercontinental ballistic missile RS-28 Sarmat, which has a range of 18,000 km, while China has a DF-41 missile with a range of 15,000 km. America has only LGM-30-G missile with a range of 13,000 km. If war breaks out, Russian missiles can reach any corner of the world. America is threatened by Russia and China due to its relatively short range missiles. Similarly, China has already built the sixth generation fighter jet, while the US and Russia are preparing for it. China and the United States have been competing in strategic strengths such as trade, technology and defense, but the way China and Russia are expanding strategic sea lanes together and the way they are trying to gain access to the North American geography, Trump is alarmed.