It seems that the pressure of Trump's policy on trade, climate, regional geopolitical issues with China-India will affect Nepal's foreign policy.
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After the election of the Prime Minister, the first visit to India has become like a 'tradition'. However, for his first foreign visit, Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli is leaving for a visit to China in the second week of November.
Former Foreign Minister and UML Deputy Secretary General Pradeep Gyawali with Kantipur's Ganga BC and Kulchandra Neupane on issues such as the possible agreement on the visit to China, its diplomatic 'side effects', the geopolitical impact of the US presidential election on South Asia, etc. Conversation by :
After Donald Trump is elected for the second time as the president of the United States, what kind of political and economic impact do you see in the world?
After Trump's second term, there are many predictions. Having selected only one person in his team, with two months left for the transfer of power, the electoral issue should be the basis for evaluating his tenure. The events and policies of his previous term should be observed. After the rise of Trump, I see a new situation in world politics. Trump's main emphasis will be on making America great and first in the world. It has international implications. America's domestic affairs include abortion rights, immigration.
is also the issue of climate change. Basically, while taking the policy of America first, it should be estimated based on this. During Trump's first term, the US took on the responsibility of peace processes around the world. Now that he has come again, it is difficult to say how he will express it, but I see the possibility that the United States will withdraw from the responsibility of assisting in the ongoing conflict in some countries. Trump's protectionist policies are likely to impact global trade, intensify trade wars, and impact manufacturing and value chains.
America's changing policy may increase tensions in the world, especially in Asia and some other places. There is also a possibility that US involvement in some countries will decrease and peace will prevail where there is war. It seems that US aid will decrease in countries where there is conflict. Since 2012, the United States has focused its strategy on the Pacific Ocean, focusing on Asia. It seems that the relationship with China will be bitter. Its pressure will fall on South Asia and Nepal.
When the leadership of the American government changes, how likely is it that there will be a policy change in the aid given to countries like Nepal?
America has been giving concessional trade facilities to Nepal. It doesn't seem like there will be much change. The size of US trade in Nepal is also small. The principle of bilateral relations does not matter. However, we should be careful about geopolitical issues. I see tensions with China increasing during Trump's second term. China-US trade seems to be paying more attention to the Asia Pacific to advance the Indo-Pacific strategy introduced in 2018 under the then US President Donald Trump. It seems that the pressure of Trump's policy on trade, climate, regional geopolitical issues in relation to China and India will fall on Nepal's foreign policy.
Economic competition between America, China and India will have positive and negative effects on Nepal?
This can be an opportunity as we skillfully advance our external relations. Because when China and India compete, America can become an ally for Nepal. In the past, India expressed its displeasure over the issue of Nepal's constitution and it went to the level of blockade. At that time, when America stood firmly in favor of Nepal's constitution, it was easy for us to easily overcome some pressures from the neighborhood.
If we can convince, we can benefit from two neighbors and other countries. Our importance is increasing due to geopolitical confrontation. But if external relations cannot be managed properly, there is a risk of getting caught in geopolitical competition. This risk is slightly higher under Trump. Because I don't see the relationship between the US and China being easy. I believe that the partnership between India and America will deepen. It naturally puts pressure on Nepal and other countries in the region.
Trump's policy is to return the immigrants who are illegally in the US, does it seem to affect the Nepalis who are there illegally?
The presence of the Nepali community in America is increasing. It is estimated that there are about five lakh Nepalis. Some of them are staying illegally. Republicans have a clear majority in the US upper house, the Senate. If there is a majority in the lower house too, a strong mandate is obtained. Now, Trump's policy is to return illegal immigrants to their respective countries. It seems that the Nepali people living in America illegally will be affected by it. Further, the DV system may also be revoked and illegal entry into the US may be prevented. It would be good if human trafficking from Nepal to America stopped.
What is the reason that our neighborhood relations could not be balanced as expected after the Congress-UML coalition government?
For Nepal, a balanced relationship with two powerful neighbors is very important for the protection of our national interests and independent existence. Our relationship has historically been somewhat balanced, with exceptions. It is true that Nepal's politics has gone on such a course lately, especially after June 2078, that our external relations have been disrupted. Unknowingly, there was an attempt to sway Nepal to one side. Even before the formation of the government, there were expressions like we will make it 'comfortable' for you. In that situation, it is true that Nepal's external relations are a little shaky.
Lately, after this government came, it is trying to strengthen that relationship. A sideline meeting was held with the Prime Minister of India on the occasion of our Prime Minister's visit to the United Nations General Assembly in New York last month. It can be believed that Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli's upcoming visit to China will work to increase balanced relations between the two countries. There is still a kind of geopolitical pressure in Nepal. Power nations want Nepal to be an ally in their agenda, to stand their ground in the competition between powerful countries. In Nepal, we are forced to face the rise of the US, India's international power, China's competition.
It is also said that after UML President Oli became Prime Minister, he did not invite him to visit Delhi as a sign of deteriorating relations with India. Next, it is being analyzed that Oli's upcoming visit to China will make North-South relations worse?
After becoming the Prime Minister of Nepal, a kind of tradition should be started with a visit to India. I think that if India does not call the Prime Minister, we should rise from the understanding that the relationship will fade away. Nepal is an independent, sovereign country. He should conduct his external relations independently. It is not a matter to be hidden, India has some issues including our borders that need to be resolved.
The issue should be resolved through diplomatic means. We have been raising our voices since the past to activate formal diplomatic relations for that. It is Nepal's declared policy that diplomatic initiatives should be taken on issues including border issues and cooperation at the business level in other areas should also be carried forward. India's problem is not only with Nepal, but it does not have trouble-free relations with other neighbours. Maldives also has some problems. Currently, India has not established a relationship with the government formed after the exit of Sheikh Hasina. Tensions remain with Pakistan.
Nepal's relations with India have not returned to a natural rhythm without efforts? Is the problem in the Indian leadership? A conclusion must be drawn as to what the problem is. India now has no reason to mistrust the strong government formed by Nepal's two main parties. There is no reason to look for an alternative to this government, to be interested in the internal affairs of Nepal. A strong, strong and peaceful Nepal is not only in the interest of Nepal, but also in the interest of India and China.
Here, until the Prime Minister of Nepal visits India, questions are raised about the life of the government. Is the government in crisis?
The legitimacy of the government of Nepal will be according to the mandate of the parliament here. The government is formed by the independent decision of the Nepalese people. At one time, Nepal's status was considered as a subordinate state. For a long time special relationship was the definition. For a long time, there was a mentality that our policies should be in harmony with a certain neighbor, somewhere within that special relationship. Which is wrong in terms of Nepal's historical independence and universality. It is one thing to visit or not to visit, more than that, as a representative of the government, the foreign minister has visited India and conveyed Nepal's message to the Prime Minister there. In the sideline meeting of the two Prime Ministers in New York, there was an open discussion on how to advance bilateral relations.
can be a 'side effect' of visiting China?
We should work with national interest as a priority. The clash of Shaktishrastra puts pressure on Nepal from time to time. They try to get Nepal on their side. We cannot be a part of regional or global competition. When the Prime Minister visits China or India, he should work to support the development and national interests of Nepal. The Prime Minister should rise from the mindset that if he visits China first, relations with India will be disturbed or if he visits India, relations with China will deteriorate. We cannot keep the door open on one side of two neighbors and lock the door on the other side. This is important for our neighbors to understand. We will not allow the land of Nepal to be used against any friend.
Even after the signing of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) between Nepal and China, the work has not progressed. After Prime Minister Oli's visit to China, is there a possibility that this project will go ahead or not?
BRI Memorandum of Understanding was signed between Nepal and China in 2017. At that time our party was in opposition. It was signed during the Congress-Maoist government. Prime Minister KP Oli's visit to China in 2018 and President Bidya Devi Bhandari's visit to China in 2019 and Xi Jinping's state visit to Nepal after China's national visit gave more strength to BRE. At that time, work was done to list which projects would be carried out under BRI.
The BRI was pushed back after the start of the Covid pandemic. At present, no BRI projects are operational in Nepal. Two small programs have been run through the INGO. It is necessary to proceed with the BRI project. It is wrong to do unnecessary politics with the help to make Nepal a developing country. It was also wrong to talk about Gijolne in MCC yesterday. Even if the grant comes, if it is not in our interest, we should not accept it. We should also take subsidized loans in areas where our resources do not cover them. I think that BRI implementation can be signed during the Prime Minister's visit to China, it is necessary to do that.
Congress, the main component of the government, has made an institutional opinion that it will only take grants and not take loans. In such a situation, when BRI is implemented, there will be a conflict somewhere in the coalition?
First of all, it is necessary to correct the understanding that BRI is a loan. BRI is a concept of development. Globalization promoted by Western countries benefited a certain group. Developing countries did not benefit enough. Under the new concept of globalization, there is a new concept of inclusive, green development and each country choosing its own plan to proceed. With this belief, more than 150 countries have joined the BRI in one way or another. Even now, the comment that is being made that BRI is a debt trap, is not confirmed from anywhere.
loans are taken as needed. We have taken loans from World Bank, Asian Development Bank, International Monetary Fund, European Development Bank. Talking about the loan, India gave a commitment of 1 billion in aid after the earthquake. Initially, our understanding was that all grants. Later there was talk of getting 25 billion grants and others from the Indian Exim Bank.
It was discussed whether Exim Bank loans can be used for reconstruction. However, in the reconstruction, the local labor, the materials were collected and the reconstruction was done and the citizens were returned to safe housing. However, that money could not be used for reconstruction on the condition that 50 percent of Indian materials should be used and entrusted to Indian contractors. There was talk of putting it on the road, even in that, 75 percent of the materials used on the road are now used locally. Even that condition was not fulfilled. Now there is a discussion whether it can be used in the transmission line. There are such problems in foreign debts. & Nbsp; Pokhara has been given an example to Pokhara International Airport in the process of loans with
China. Is China's who changes Pokhara's loan in good times is coming? & NBSP;
is different things in the concessional debts of BRI and Pokhara Airport. The Chinese Ambassador in Bemuthi said that under the BRI project is the dispute status. But under the BRI project, Pokhara airport is not a airport. BRI signed in 2017, but Pokhara Airport had started in 2014. If it was not employed in unnecessary disputes. Discussions is being discussed whether the loan of Pokhara Airport can be replaced by contract. The government is taking initiative. & Nbsp;
Personat Chief Personal Person 'agenda's agenda' agenda 'agenda' agenda 'agenda, which cannot be commonplace with a ruling Nepali Congress, is a significant question. One party south and the other party have returned home to north, that these two groups come in two groups of China? & NBSP;
this understanding is also wrong. Tanksad Acharya also made China a very important agreement in 2013 in 2013. China, making important compulsions including the border agreement with China, made by BP Koirala. By remembering this, Chinese leaders also respect BP. So it is flawed that the Congress is a India-oriented party. The Congress's view of the Congress as an organization says that two neighbors should maintain balance. The UML is very clear that. We can never move forward with a China's second largest economy and without balanced relationships in the traveling target of the first goal. & NBSP; Let's change the
, this government has been spent four months formed four months, but not the effectiveness of government. It seems that there is no time to give priority in work? & NBSP;
has done a significant job in the last four months. To bring the loose economy at the rhythm, the biggest thing has been in trusting the private sector. I do not say, challenging the economy crisis, challenged. At least the private sector is optimistic. A reflection shares can be seen in the market. The bill deposited with a long time had passed, especially connected to the transitional court, especially. The victims are the most important aspect to open the door to the judgment. There are trying to turn on the external relationships in Nepal. The process of intercourse and action has proceeded against the culprit and action that is associated with
cooperatives. In particular, by cultivating the revenue revenue of the government and is highly reduced by it. The parliament parallel was due to revenue and official economy in the past. The channel appears to be used by other places. At that time, the corruption was greatly. The context of the state himself does not have the ability to spend it, the mobility that comes to the economy. In the meantime, there has been a lot of scale of the planning implementation. There are only seventeen thousand plans now with the federal government right now. There are many expenses that the country has been budget with the center after being led by federalism. The resource has been so much abuse and sowing work. It has been a problem in development. I see some legacy in the past due to the reasons for the initiative of the prime minister. & Nbsp; The opposition party, including
, has been charged to protect the sort of corruption and engagement of the government. The leaders of power leaders are added to the cooperative but the opposition leaders are becoming a message in the investigation. How have you watched? & Nbsp; Story Maoist Chairman Prachanda 'I have a magical number, "I have a magical number, was confidence and confusion that I have been played by two years of playing for five years'. Prachanda looks like a second deranged when it is suddenly to the realization of the true earth. That inspired Prachanda has ever been arguing, sometimes, and is also experiencing Sri Lanka, when it takes fire.
should look at Prachanda from psychology in psychology in the future. Prachanda, Prachanda, also said, 'We have been arguing that we were making the file of corruption in the middle of the middle of the middle of the middle of the middle of the middle of the middle of the middle of the night. This expression reflects the mischief. It is voluntary with the government of opening corruption. If the country is the ruling of the country, the Secretary of the official body of the file of corruption is purifier, CIB, alert center and property purification. Let these organizations serve uninterrupted work. We were opening a file, that the sudden power changed, no one else in his mind worked with political resistence. & Nbsp; STORY-BRAK talk to the cooperatives, the investigation committee has been unanimously reports. Rirma Khandir Khanal signature. In the report, Ravi Lamichhane is shining and the concerned committee has recommended action. If Raviji is innocent, why reasons to connect research process? It is only for what is said now. Yesterday, Krishna Bahadur Mahara in Gold Kanda, signs and later moved a new manner after investigation.
has been instructed that the Prime Ministers who make decisions on Lalita residence. So it is not to take a double standards. As far as the current government, from guilty, come to the scope of the investigation and the finger is poisoned, where the finger falls. Does not preserve anyone. Wishering Raj Tamang, a manure of the cooperatives, went to custody. But, we said nothing. If you look at riraj or someone else, if you look to blame for the internal affairs of Koshi region, no one protects. Also, also for corruption should also be said that the Maoists and Randhapa should understand. What does
co-arrested but if the victim's money would not have been priority in the direction of the victim?
is trying to return the money for cooperatives. A few days ago, full of all fifty thousand or one million accounts, and others have been partially saving. That order continues to continue. & Nbsp;
has been moved by the consent of the constitution under the consent of the two parties. But there is no discussion and priority regarding the constitution revolution. Is that topic raised only for the cover of the fruit? & NBSP; The overall discussion of the
is raised with the overall discussions of the implementation of the constitution and conclusion that it was time when it was time to review according to the need. Not as a political tool, not as in the basis of the needs of the necessity is determined. Constituent of the Constitution He has the inclusive representation of the inclusive representation of the inclusive representation of the inclusive representation on the inclusive representation of the inclusive representation of the human development index of the human development index of the human development index. Ten years is a long journey on yourself. It is time to review which aspects of the implementation of the constitution, the weak aspect, the shortcomings, and the rich to achieve the goal of being carried out. Most importantly, political instability remained as a dreadful disease. 34/35 government regime by
-BREAK. It is a south neighb of one side, which is moving towards the elections of economic development through a strong and stable government by interfering. There is a different political system in the north, but the President C Chinfing is moving forward by amending the legislation by the third term. The two neighbors are moving forward in the direction of formation of world power, a strong and stable government. We only change the government. If electorate election system should change somewhere for this while we conclude that we should be ready for. Political Strength the political system of the country is equally responsible for the one on the one hand, the role of the party. The method of present will also be changed to the present representation of the state. Is the message going on that
Is Selectioning to End Ecos of Small Bowns to End of Small Bowns? & NBSP;
that is their psychological fear. The parties are relevant only then, then the people receive public opinion. History is the first party that is very honorable and large contribution. However, exclusion became without changing the time. If the time is unpredictive, no other constitution cannot preserve the existence. There are no percentage of thresholds. First of all parties should increase the capital. The political parties is that it is to move forward based on ideology. & Nbsp;
will strengthen the fear of your party's Secretary General to increase the threshtical system of three percent? & nbsp;
seems to happen now. There has been no decision in institutionalized manner. Even if the national party called the threshold, the national party is not 20 about 20 of the 1955 constituency, not representing others than one candidates, not representing others. Reconditioning such parties or not? & NBSP; The
government does not look for donations for the construction of party office, such as revenue, asset purification, kIta, and there?
is the state under consideration. Say something to talk about the overall side. However, it is clear that the person who will not take help from the political parties, what kind of person does not take. Pol Poluned Act has a clear standard of except banking system and not taking advantage of more than 25,000 cooperation. We will be very happy to give the criteria for the criterion. We brought to the industrialist, businessman, a place to make constitution. Even now, there is a significant appearance of a class contractor in the parliament. In the investigation of the account committee on the public purchase Act, the investigation of accounts, the committee is working on economic policies. On the one hand, they must be a citizen of the country, must be the representation of emotions. It is important to be debated about how to distinguish between their selfishness and the policy of the country. & Nbsp; The
UML does not mean that someone has been misunderstood from the issue of assistance. So, during the CP Oli Leadership government, he did not rise. It has already closed the file. It was a special court that was finished. One lawyer was fighting with a serious pain and he was excited irregularity after he is in contact with the government. UML government has committed the work of the Lalita's residence. Selfishness must be contradict at that time. But, it was easy for a courtfield that he would not take what kind of help would not take. & Nbsp;
